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hi David Harper a banach turtle with a brief illustration of the role return in futures contracts this is important because it impacts several commodity based ETFs lately in a bad way so to illustrate the impact of the role return on your futures contract Ive plotted an actual crude oil futures curve thats as of today about mid June 2010 and so the spot price lets round off is about $76 and then we have as a plot of futures prices on crude oil 1 month 2 month 3 month these contracts go over time give us the futures curve we could also call it a forward curve and its upward sloping to reflect a positive cost of carry so technically we say the crude oil futures curve is in contango and what that means is we are going to exhibit we are going to experience losses on the roll return so that to show how that works lets say here we are at mid-june and we enter into a long December contract the December futures price is 81 dollars as of today so if we enter into a long December contract
