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- [Narrator] If you look at every U.S. recession, well, since World War II, youll see two things always happen. The GDP, the measure of economic output goes down and unemployment goes up. - For most Americans, when do you feel a recession? Its when you start worrying about your job. - [Narrator] Now lets look at today. The GDP is going down, even the head of the federal reserve says a recession is- - Certainly a possibility. - [Narrator] But the unemployment rate, its actually falling. More people are getting jobs, not losing them. - We dont know if its a recession. What we can say is that if it is one, its not like anything weve ever seen before. - [Narrator] Heres why. The reason the GDP and unemployment are always together is because they feed on each other. When businesses layoff workers, people spend less money which means businesses make fewer profits and lay off workers. A recession can begin at any of these points. And in 2022, people could cut back on spending. Just