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im andy bell and im going to be talking about as she said the age period cohort identification problem which um i think is actually probably one of the most important issues that hasnt rea or has been addressed by some people but is often quite misunderstood and im going to be arguing in this talk that it really does matter quite a lot so im arguing that differentiating between age period and cohort effects is impossible first of all so because they are co-linear between them its impossible to tell one of them without understanding the others but on top as well as saying its impossible im also saying its necessary and so when modeling any of ap h period and cohort if youre interested in age you have to consider the other two because implicitly theyre going to be in your model as well so you have to think about them you have to think through of the implications of them otherwise you can end up making some really quite incorrect inference so im going to quickly define what a
