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hello my friends and welcome to the March fomc debrief for those of you who dont know me my name is Joseph I used to be a Trader on the feds trading desk and now I teach and write about the market at fedguy.com so the March presser just finished and Im here to break it down to you as to what just happened now before we get there lets take a step back and think what happened since the last meeting at the last meeting in January trip Howell guided the markets that hes going to do 25 basis points in rate hikes this time and maybe a few more depending on how the economic data comes in and then we got some pretty hot inflation data pretty hot employment data and pretty hot consumer spending data the data seemed to suggest that inflation was actually not under control and so chirpal during his testimony at Congress strongly suggested that hey you know Lira seems a bit hot in March Im thinking of going 50 basis points and that was the assumption until two weeks ago two weeks ago as you g