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Over the years, there are paradigm shifts where environments change drastically, such as the transition from the 1920s to the 1930s. Easing monetary policy and quantitative easing have been happening for a long time, but people tend to extrapolate past trends, leading to surprises. Stepping back and looking at history from a longer-term perspective can be beneficial. The FED made a mistake by assuming a normal cycle would lead to inflation with increased growth and lower unemployment.