Pakistan Public Expenditure Review: Reform Issues and Options 2025

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In its Fiscal Monitor 2024 released on Wednesday, the IMF estimated Pakistans fiscal deficit the gap between total resources and expenditures for the current financial year at six per cent of GDP, slightly higher (0.1pc) than the governments target but lower than last years 6.7pc and 7.7pc over the previous two
The fiscal deficit is estimated to be 4.4 per cent of GDP. The gross market borrowings are estimated at ₹14.82 lakh crore. Capex Expenditure of ₹11.21 lakh crore (3.1% of GDP) earmarked in FY2025-26.
Each Pakistani owes Rs302,000 as fiscal deficit doubles the prescribed limit. The Fiscal Policy Statement 2025 reveals that the federal budget deficit soared to Rs7.7 trillion, or 7.3% of GDP, more than double the prescribed limit of 3.5%
Interest payments and defence expenditures are the major part of the current expenditures. They have collectively made almost two-third of the current expenditure.
After registering surpluses in the last five months, Pakistans current account posted a deficit of $420 million in January 2025, a significant increase of 4% when compared with the deficit of $404 million in the same month of the previous year, data released on Tuesday by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) showed.
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The total fiscal deficit stands at Rs 7.283 trillion, representing 5.9% of GDP, down from the revised 7.4% in FY 2023-24.

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