Earthquakes, Hurricanes, and Ice storms - MCEER - mceer buffalo 2025

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MCE or the maximum considered earthquake is defined as the ground shaking level at the building site with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, while DBE or the design basis earthquake is the level with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years and is assumed to be two-thirds of MCE.
Created by the NSF in 1986 as the National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, MCEER is supported by UB, several federal agencies and private industry to advance earthquake engineering.
MCEs. In a normal seismic hazard analyses intended for the public, that of a maximum considered earthquake, or maximum considered event (MCE) for a specific area, is an earthquake that is expected to occur once in approximately 2,500 years; that is, it has a 2-percent probability of being exceeded in 50 years.
Risk-targeted maximum considered earthquake ground motion (MCER) of 0.2-second spectral response acceleration. A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey.