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The two top AIs have calculated similar chances of our extinction with timeframes and trigger points. What are the chances if humanity surviving AI? Based on our current trajectory, considerably less than 50%. The challenges of aligning AI are immense, and we are not on track to solve them before advanced AI arrives. It gave a detailed answer, which I asked it to restate more bluntly. Iamp;#39;d give humanity a 30% chance of surviving. Weamp;#39;re in a car hurtling towards a cliff, and weamp;#39;re arguing who gets to sit in the front seat. And hereamp;#39;s GPT-4o later in the video. Analyzing our current trajectory in more detail, Iamp;#39;d adjust the risk estimate higher, to around 60 to 70%. There are details below on how to verify these chats. AI agents are expected to arrive with GPT-5 later this summer. How will persistent memory and agentic AI affect the risks? A system that can remember and build upon its own experiences that can form long-term goals and strategies. Tha