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well the idea is now to see whether we can sort of get an overall trend component can we estimate a novel trend component that varies over time just to allow for the changes of the mean in in this time series well to do that we have to have a model in mind and in this in this particular case we think of a model where we have a trend in an irregular because other features are not apparent immediately from this time series so its just thinking about a moving trend and beyond the moving trend is just only a regular noise so we have and thats what we call then in in in a statistical model we call that a local level model and thats what we need to tell the program that we want to fit this data within local level model and that is what you do by clicking on this pictogram here model or just go to model and start modeling here with y so I select the Y as you can see here the ox matrix has various packages well here for this analysis we choose the option stamp and then once we have clicked