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Higher oil prices are complicating central banks' fight against inflation, and the idea that they may soon adopt a dovish stance appears premature. The potential for further rises in commodity prices adds to this complexity. Additionally, the impact of recent banking turmoil on monetary tightening is under examination. While there may be some spillover effects leading to credit tightening, the overall economic fallout is expected to be modest. Consequently, the anticipated rate cuts being factored in by the financial markets may need reevaluation, as the situation continues to evolve and the degree of banking stress remains uncertain.