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KEVIN CRAMER. Shannon: TRACE GALLAGHER, THANK YOU SO MUCH. HOUSE EDITOR FOR THE COOK POLITICAL REPORT UPDATING HIS OUTLOOK FOR THE BALANCE OF POWER AFTER THE MIDTERMS. PREDICTING DEMOCRATS WILL GAIN 30 TO 40 SEATS IN THE HOUSE. THEY ONLY NEED 23 TO BE THE MAJORITY. CAUTIONING THAT THINGS COULD CHANGE BEFORE TUESDAY. LETS BRING IN KARL ROVE TO HELP BREAK IT DOWN. LETS START WITH THE NUMBERS. IF THE COOK REPORT IS RIGHT, ITS OVER FOR THE G.O.P. ON THE HOUSE SIDE. LAST WEEK THEY WERE ESTIMATING BETWEEN 25 AND 30 DEMOCRAT PICKUP. NOW ITS 30 TO 40. IT COULD HAPPEN BUT I WANT TO PUT THINGS IN PERSPECTIVE. THERE IS A POWER OF INCUMBENCY. OVER, IN 9 OF 10 MIDTERM ELECTION SINCE 1974, MORE THAN 90% OF THE INCUMBENTS HAVE BEEN REELECTED. IN 2016, IT WAS 97%. IN 2014, IT WAS 96% OF INCUMBENTS WERE REELECTED. FOR THE COOK REPORT TO HIT THE NUMBER OF 30 TO 40 DEMOCRATS, YOUD HAVE TO ASSUME ALL OPEN REPUBLICAN SEATS THEY COUNT AS LIKELY DEMOCRAT, LEANING DEMOCRAT, TOSS-UP, ALL THOSE GO TO
