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[Music] foreign Im Conor lokar senior forecaster here at ITR economics and today were going to be going over a couple of our foundational Concepts here at ITR rates of change and leading indicators uh you know these two really amount to our bread and butter here at ITR and we think that theyre very powerful Tools in terms of yourself as a business owner an executive in terms of evaluating your business in a different way obviously you know macroeconomic data is important to your business you know microeconomic market-based insights are important but in terms of a a first step to get there to that analysis and direct company based application we have to start with rates of change so were going to go through that at a rudimentary level so as for any data set I I like to think as rates of change as a step back opportunity where a lot of folks in business are you know evaluating things by the day by the week you know year to date you know average daily bookings average daily sales you