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the survey is for two hundred thousand but the whisper number is substantially higher well we got some good news this week or at least some news that pushes people in that direction with the ADP numbers coming in at 235 jobless claims low and a rise in the manufacturing payroll survey from the ism so at this point people are looking for continued strength at least in the establishment survey 200 000 jobs as Matt says is the basic uh estimate that probably doesnt include the 434 people in the House of Representatives who havent been sworn in yet so arent getting paid the unemployment rate not expected to change and thats a problem for the FED which has predicted it will which means whats the question about earnings do we see earnings drop the forecast is yes and were still going to be running in a five percent annual rate which is uh too high according to the FED when they look at the numbers they think it should be in a range of about three to three and a half percent nothing wr