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good FM investors we just discussed how the S P 500 is pure speculation when it comes to investing and that is because the historical price earnings ratio is very high if you look at history High p ratio means low returns and then if you invest in the S P 500 you speculate that things will not change and that things will never go back to P ratios of 10 20 that were the historical Norm so you say interest rates will go lower and therefore this is the new normal but to me that is too risky because we are in the current environment now with a high price earnings ratio but what if it goes back to 15 that is the historical average or even without the last 20 years 30 years of extra extremely low interest rates and low inflation if it goes even lower thats a 50 percent decline for the sap 500 and if you look at the Historical return of stocks B ratio before the 2000s of twelve eight percent earnings yield two percent growth that is the historical 10 percent that stocks delivered now with th