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desirable vote is our outcome variable it records the state level boat share of the democratic party in the state election for a Senate seat in the given year for example the Democratic Party obtained 64.6 percent of the vote in the Senate collections of 1958 for one of the two seats representing state won this means that the Democrats won the nineteen fifty eight election in state won the running variable is called margin it records the margin of victory of the Democratic Party in the previous election the disc Senate seat the previous elections for this seat took place six years before in 1952 in that year the Democratic Party also won the election with 57.5 percent of the vote and the Republican Party lost with forty two point five percent of the vote the difference the margin between the two outcomes a 15 percentage point fifteen percent is the value of the margin variable for the previous elections in 1958 basic summary statistics of the outcome and the running variable showed tha
