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if you want to predict how far a stock could potentially go in any given period of time this video is for you technical analysts like to look at past data to predict future movements however the options market allows us to see implied volatility and give us whats known as a expected move or what i call a risk range these risk ranges give us an extremely good probability to where price may close within a given period of time and how far it could potentially move you can think of it as a bell curve sixty-eight percent of the time if the stock is trading at say forty dollars and our expected move or risk range is say five dollars that means it can go up five dollars which would be what 45 or it can go down five dollars which would be 35. this means that theres a 68 probability that it will close within that range that is some very useful information especially given a specific period of time for example what i like to use for it is the weekly risk ranges now that is what i draw on my we
