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- What were going to do in this video is talk about the incumbent advantage. And, this is the idea that the person who is already in power, the incumbent, has an advantage in elections. And, in particular, were going to focus on Presidential elections, although this idea is pretty common across different offices. Now, it turns out that if you go back over, roughly, the last 100 years, in Presidential elections that had and incumbent, that had a sitting President running for a second term or maybe a third, or a forth term in the case of FDR, you have more than 80% of the time, it goes to the incumbent. And this right over here is a picture of the Presidential Debates from C-SPAN and this in 2012 between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. And President Obama, of course, was the incumbent and he went on to win. And, once again, not unusual, this happened 80% of the time. The last time that a challenger was able to unseat an incumbent was in 1992 when you have President Clinton was
