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REPRESENTATIVE OF THE STRENGTH OF THE U.S. LABOR MARKET. ED JOINS US NOW FOR MORE. THANK YOU FOR JOINING US TO GO THROUGH SOME OF THIS. WHAT ABOUT FRIDAY TELLS YOU THAT IS THE ANOMALY AND NOT THE START OF A NEW TRADE? ED: I THINK TO A LARGE EXTENT THE FRIDAY SELLOUT HAD MORE TO DO WITH THE CARRY TRADE UNWINDING THE JAPANESE CENTRAL BANK AND THE FINANCE MINISTRY INDICATED THEY WANTED TO SEE SOMEWHAT TIGHTER MONETARY POLICIES OVER THERE, AND APPARENTLY WE NEVER APPRECIATED THE SCALE OF THESE TRADES. JUST HAPPENS THAT ALL OF THESE THINGS CAME TOGETHER ON FRIDAY. I THINK THE MARKETS HAD THE SAHM RULE SCARE THAT THE UN-APPOINTMENT RATE IS GOING UP A LITTLE BIT AND THE NEXT THING IT DOES IS GO UP A LOT BUT HISTORY SHOWS THAT ONLY HAPPENS WHEN YOU GET A CRUNCH. THAT IS CONCEIVABLE THAT THIS TRADE UNWIND BECOMES SOME SORT OF A FINANCIAL CRISIS THAT IN TURN LEADS TO A RECESSION, BUT THAT IS NOT WHERE MY THINKING IS AT. THE OTHER ISSUE IS GEOPOLITICAL RISK. EVERYBODY IS KIND OF NERVOUS ABOUT THE
