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COOLING OFF AFTER A TREMENDOUS RUN, WHATS THE PROGNOSIS GOING FORWARD? WERE IN A WEIRD MOMENT NOW AS I SAID AT THE TOP. WERE CONSTANTLY TRYING TO GUESS THE FEDERAL RESERVIST NEXT MOVE MEANING FOCUSSING INTENSELY ON EVERY DATA POINT GET A READ ON THE MARKETS NEXT MOVE AND THE MISOFS OF AN EARNIS SEASON WITH STUNNINGLY POSITIVE QUARTERS, WE CANT STOP PLAYING THE DARN FED SPECULATION GAME. THE FED IS TAKING RATES FROM 0 TO 4.5 IN LESS THAN A YEAR INCREDIBLE IF THIS IS A GUIDE FOR AGGRESSIVE RATE HIKES SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO SEND THE ECONOMY INTO A TAIL SPIN AND BRINGING THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE TO THE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1969, 3.4% AND MADE PROGRESS FIGHTING INFLATION BUT COMMODITY INFLATION. ITS HARD TO TELL IF WE CAN MAINTAIN THAT PROGRESS GIVEN THE LACK OF MAJOR SLOWDOWN OUTSIDE OF SILICON VALLEY. REMEMBER, WORRIED ABOUT WAGE INFLATION NOW. ANYONE TELLING YOU THE FULLY UNDERSTANDING THE ECONOMY, WERE IN AN UNPRECEDENTED MOMENT THAT REQUIRES GUESSWORK AND SUBJECTIVE ANALYSI