Change chart in the Job Report 2020

Aug 6th, 2022
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How to change chart in the Job Report 2020

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all right well the US added 303,000 jobs in the month of March well that was well above the Streets expectations now City saying in a recent note that they expected the job market to weaken with just 150,000 jobs added in March leading to 125 basis points of cuts this year almost double what the market is currently pricing in so where do things stand following this higher than expected uh jobs print that we got out this morning we want to bring in one of the economists behind that call you have Andrew Hollen horse hes a city a chief us Economist Andrew its great to see you here so first just your reaction to the print that we got out this morning and whether or not that changes your base case for the fed and the degree of the cuts that you are expecting this year yeah this was a much stronger than expected jobs report like you said stronger than our forecast stronger than consensus forecast I dont know that it changes that much for the FED at the end of the day um or that we should

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The unemployment rate, reported monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, provides docHub insight into the health of the nations economy. Generally, the lower the unemployment rate, the stronger the economy is likely to be. The unemployment rate is also one of the mostly closely followed indicators.
The unemployment rate peaked at an unprecedented level, not seen since data collection started in 1948, in April 2020 (14.8%) before declining to a still- elevated level in February 2021 (6.2%) relative to February 2020 (3.5%).
If job growth is strong and the labor market is so robust that wages rise quickly, that could keep price increases higher for longer as companies try to cover their costs. On the other hand, if the job market begins to slow sharply, that could nudge Fed officials toward earlier interest rate cuts.
Key Points. Released each month, the jobs reportor Employment Situation Summarycan have a docHub effect on the financial markets. The jobs report provides the most comprehensive picture of nonfarm employment in the U.S. Interpreting the jobs report can be tricky and often depends on the larger economic context.
The problem of overstated jobs numbers is not a new one. In August 2023, the BLS issued a preliminary revision for the 12 months through March 2023 showing U.S. job growth for that period was overstated by a net 306,000 jobs. Thats 25,500 fewer jobs on average per month in that period.
The forthcoming jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will provide further clarity for mortgage rate trends. My primary data line for rates is jobless claims; if jobless claims rise faster, mortgage rates will go lower, regardless of what the Fed does, Mohtashami said.
Typically, the monthly employment and unemployment numbers reported in the news are seasonally adjusted data.
Employment growth will remain positive in 2024, but at a much slower pace than in recent years. 2024 will look a lot like the second half of 2023 when it comes to hiring and job gains, Vachon said.

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