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The goal is for you to come away from this video understanding one of the most important formulas in all of probability, Bayes theorem. This formula is central to scientific discovery, its a core tool in machine learning and AI, and its even been used for treasure hunting, when in the 80s a small team led by Tommy Thompson used Bayesian search tactics to help uncover a ship that had sunk a century and half earlier carrying what, in todays terms, amounts to $700,000,000 worth of gold. So its a formula worth understanding. But of course there were multiple different levels of possible understanding. At the simplest theres just knowing what each part means, so you can plug in numbers. Then theres understanding why its true; and later Im gonna show you a certain diagram thats helpful for rediscovering the formula on the fly as needed. Then theres being able to recognize when you need to use it. With the goal of gaining a deeper understanding, you and I will tackle these in rev