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iamp;#39;m erin towler and as part of the climate and weather extremes tutorial iamp;#39;m going to be presenting now on analyzing extreme events using extreme value theory in the previously recorded state of the science lecture on extremes we learned that there is no exact definition of an extreme we pointed out thereamp;#39;s two main ways to define climate extremes the second being extreme value theory which is for the more extreme extremes as we might say and these need extreme value theory because of sampling issues which is typically less than one to five percent of the total sample the nice thing about evt is it can be used to estimate probabilities of values that have not been seen before also in the statistical downscaling lecture we learned about statistical models commonly used for perfect prognosis downscaling one of those was extreme value statistics which weamp;#39;ll be talking about more in this lecture first i want to point out several very good resources to learn