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Each crisis is more dangerous than the one before - 1998, 2008, now 2022. We may be approaching a point where a crisis could be bigger than the FED's ability to manage. Predicting magnitude is possible but timing is uncertain. In 1998, a global liquidity crisis almost shut down markets due to a Russian default. Long-Term Capital Management faced $1.4 trillion in derivatives losses. Uncertainty is high now as we approach a potential crisis.
