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[Music] welcome to another episode of direct-to-consumer Academy Im your host Mike Evert oh and todays episode is about simple inventory forecasting so its the beginning of 2019 if you havent already started planning you really need to and I think this is a pretty simple way for those who arent necessarily using statistical focused inventory forecasting methods to get started so the background here is is that in my experience I worked for essentially Walmart worked for a contractor that sold produce to them and I was responsible for actually forecasting and sourcing and delivering produce to multiple distribution centers across the country and using this model a little bit more of a complex model but I simplified it for today and Im gonna actually link this template into the show notes but I was able to come up with forecasts using data from past years and of course the more years you have in the past the better the data in the future but I mean for what I have today I have abou